מסיפורי אמנון יצחק נחזור לסיפורי צבי ענבל בהרצאתו כאן
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4MWzNHPh750&feature=player_embedded
לפי דבריו: "10992 דירות נפגעו. שליש נהרסו, שליש נפגעו באופן שהיה צריך להוריד אותם, ושליש פגיעות קלות".
כלומר לפי דבריו למעלה מ3000 דירות נהרסו, ועוד למעלה מ3000 דירות היו צריכות להיהרס ולהבנות מחדש. כלומר למעלה מ6000 משפחות היו צריכות להתפנות מביתן למשך תקופה ארוכה.
המספר הכולל של הדירות שנפגעו פחות או יותר נכון, אבל שאר הנתונים שמביא ענבל דימיוניים ומוגזמים לפחות פי 4.
קשה לקבוע בדיוק מה היו מימדי ההרס כיוון שבמקורות השונים מופיעות הערכות שונות (כפי שניתן לראות למטה).
אבל הסיכום עד כמה שיכולתי לקבוע הוא שמספר הדירות שנהרסו כליל נע בין 200 ל400 או 600 או 800 לכל היותר.
מס' המשפחות שנזקקו להתפנות מביתן הוא רק כ 1600, כלומר זהו בערך מס' הדירות שנהרסו כליל או נפגעו קשה עד כדי כך שנזקקו לבנייה מחדש.
צריך גם להבין שבית שנהרס כליל אין פרושו בהכרח בית שקרס על יושביו, אבל על כך ארחיב בהמשך.
מקורות:
http://www.hrw.org/reports/1991/gulfwar/CHAP8.htm
Of the 18 Iraqi attacks, official Israeli sources reported that nine caused no property damage. The other nine attacks, however, were reported to have caused substantial destruction. In Tel Aviv alone, according to the Hebrew daily newspaper Maariv, over 3,805 apartments were damaged, including 793 that were badly damaged.4 Maariv also reported that in the city worst hit in the Dan region -- thought to be Ramat Gan -- 1,162 buildings were damaged, including over 3,700 apartments. Some 28 buildings were totally destroyed, including 118apartments, and some 701 apartments in 129 buildings were in need of extensive renovation due to damage.
הערכות נוספות במקורות אחרים:
* A table in the Tel Aviv newspaper Ma'ariv gave totals for both the City of Tel Aviv and for the most heavily damaged Tel Aviv suburb, which was Ramat Gan. In these two cities 7,559 apartments were damaged, with 2,493 of these heavily damaged (the article does not indicate how many apartments were actually destroyed). At least 28 buildings (containing about 118 apartments) were destroyed in Ramat Gan. The deions of some of the individual attacks on Tel Aviv refer to 152 apartments being destroyed, but it appears that some of these may have been outside the city limits of Tel Aviv. Another 1,700 apartments were damaged in Haifa, (although it appears that most of these were not heavily damaged). Few if any apartments were destroyed in Haifa or anywhere else in Israel outside the Tel Aviv area. (Ma'ariv, 29 March 1991. An English translation of the table appears in Postol, "Lessons of the Gulf War," pp. 141-144.) The data in the Ma'ariv article suggest that the number of apartments destroyed could be over 400. Ma'ariv does not give a total for apartments destroyed within the city of Tel Aviv, but it does report that in Ramat Gan, 700 apartments needed major repairs and at least 118 apartments were destroyed. Ma'ariv reports 1,793 heavily damaged apartments in the city of Tel Aviv. If the ratio between heavily damaged and destroyed apartments was the same as in Ramat Gan, then about 300 apartments would have been destroyed in Tel Aviv, for a total of over 400 apartments destroyed in Tel Aviv and Ramat Gan.
* The Jerusalem Post reports that a total of 4,095 buildings were damaged and that 1,644 families were evacuated in Israel. The latter number probably corresponds to the number of apartments damaged seriously enough to render them at least temporarily uninhabitable. ("Scud Toll: Summing Up the 39 Missile Attacks," Jerusalem Post, 1 March 1991, p. 2.)
* Another report cites a total of 12,118 apartments damaged in Israel, of which 195 were destroyed and 1609 suffered moderate damage, with the remainder being only lightly damaged (BIAF--Israel Aviation and Space Magazine, No. 72 (Spring 1991), p. 31).
* According to the Israeli housing ministry, over 200 buildings were totally destroyed and hundreds more seriously damaged.
